@2030 Modelling System (FAO)

The @2030 model was developed by Wolfgang Britz for and is maintained by the GLobal Perspective Unit of FAO, Rome.

Overview

Recursive dynamic non-spatial world trade model, long-term oriented
Some 36 regional/national models and 32 products
Heuristic parameters, e.g. elasticities borrowed mainly from the World Food Model and the Food Demand Model
Developed for and applied by FAO, Rome, for long-term projections and simulations
Uses software tools developed by the Department for Economics and Agricultural Policy, University of Bonn

Details

Methodology:

The at2030 System is a non-spatial, recursive-dynamic, synthetic, multi-regional, multi-product partial-equilibrium world trade model for all major food products.:

Identically structured regional modules, differences expressed by regional specific parametrization
Base line calibrated to the long-term projections by the FAO Global Perspective Unit
Covers PSE/CSEs as policy instruments
Time dependent supply and demand elasticities
Well behaved, flexible systems of supply and demand functions allow for a consistent welfare analysis
Difference between producer and consumer prices expressed by dynamic margins
Interactive internet based mapping and table tool
Written in GAMS

Publications:

W. BRITZ:
Major enhancements of @2030 modelling system
Research report for the FAO, 2003

SCHMIDHUBER J. & W. BRITZ:
The AT2030 Model: An Overview
Powerpoint presentation, presented at the "World Outlook Conference 2001", in Stresa, Italy

W. Britz & SCHMIDHUBER, J.:
@2030: A first step towards a modelling system for FAO�s long-term projections for world agriculture
in: Brockmeier M., F. Isermeyer. & von Cramon-Taubadel S. (eds): Liberalisierung des Weltagrarhandels - Strategien und Konsequenzen, Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaus e.V., Band 37 2002

@2030 at FAO (direct link):

Global Perspective Unit at FAO

Last updated: Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Content

See also