Workpackage 2: Data

Dwyer J. and Clark M., CAPRI-RD Expenditure database report, CAPRI-RD Deliverable 2.1.1, 2009 (Draft)

Database on RD measures from Pillar II, CAPRI-RD Deliverable 2.1.2, first operational version implemented in model code and data base

Schroeder et.al., Report on additional databases to model/define RD indicators, CAPRI-RD Deliverable 2.1.3

Data for calculation of RD indicators implemented in CAPRI-RD data base, , CAPRI-RD Deliverable 2.1.4, only small bits missing which had been sampled specifically for the project

Kuhar et.al, Methodological review on the regionalisation of SAMs, CAPRI-RD Deliverable 2.2.1, 2009

Müller et.al., Compilation of National SAM for EU27 Member States, CAPPRI-RD Deliverable 2.2.2, 2009

Ferrari et.al., Compilation of datasets needed for regional splitting of the national SAMS: dataset and documentation, CAPPRI-RD Deliverable 2.2.3, 2010

Ferrari et.al., Procedure for the compilation of regional SAMs based on national SAMs and available regional datasets: dataset and documentation, CAPPRI-RD Deliverable 2.2.4, 2010

Cakmak et.al., Regional and National Data Sources Available for Turkey, CAPPRI-RD Deliverable 2.3.2, 2010

Cakmak et.al., Improving National and Regional Time Series Database for Turkey, CAPPRI-RD Deliverable 2.3.3, 2011

D2.3.4 Regional time series database for Turkey :Thanks to improved data availability at EUROSTAT, the team could release the first preliminary regional data base for Turkey in summer 2009 instead as foreseen in Month 36, so that it is now possible to concentrate much more on data quality issues regarding the Turkish data set and on regional SAMs.

Dol W. and Verhoog D., Methodology for data quality management, CAPPRI-RD Deliverable 2.3.5

Britz W., A metadata catalogue for CAPRI-RD , CAPPRI-RD Deliverable 2.3.6

Workpackage 3: Modelling

Deliverables related to modelling RD measures and model integration

Dwyer J. and Thomson K., Literature review of Pillar II modelling in the EU, CAPRI-RD Deliverable 3.1.1, 2009

Witzke P. and Britz W., Report on modelling RD measures in CAPRI, CAPRI-RD Deliverable 3.1.2

D3.1.3 Interfaces to RD measures implemented in CAPRI: In the regional supply models, the agri-environmental payments were mapped to the less extensive production activities. LFA payments inside the regions were modified by farm type and paid of subsidies to land. The Natura 2000 payments are also interpreted as a subsidy to extensive agriculture. The remaining measures are included in the regional CGE, see D3.2.4 and D3.2.5.

A draft version of D3.1.4 Report on iterative link between CAPRI and regional CGEs"by Torbjörn Jansson, Wolfgang Britz and Hannu Törmä was prepared in May-September 2009. The finalization is foreseen once the CGEs are fully operationl in spring 2012.

D3.1.5 Iterative link between CAPRI and regional CGEs implemented:: A protype version is working and currently throughly tested and improved.

Deliverables related to improved price transmission

Witze P., Borkowski N. und Britz W., Literature review in modelling price transmission in PE models, CAPPRI-RD Deliverable 3.3.1

Deliverables related to the regional CGEs

Törmä H et.al, Regional CGE model layout with a focus on integration with the partial equilibrium models and modelling of RD measures, CAPRI-RD Deliverable 3.2.1, 2010

Törmä H. and Zawalinska, K.Methodological description of the CGERegEU+ model, CAPPRI-RD Deliverable 3.2.2

Törmä H. and Zawalinska, K.Final documentation of the CGERegEU+ model, CAPPRI-RD Deliverable 3.2.3

Britz W.,RegCgeEU+ in GAMS, documentation including the Graphical User Interface, CAPPRI-RD Deliverable 3.2.4

Deliverables related to improvement in CAPRI supply models

Oudendag D. and Helming J.,Literature review on modelling farm payment scheme and decoupled payment in agricultural sector models, CAPPRI-RD Deliverable 3.3.4

Regarding D3.3.5 Improved methodology to model farm payment scheme and implementation in gams code, the way the so-called single farm payment scheme is integrated in CAPRI was improved in many respect. The most important one is the explicit and endogenous reflection of the the so-called entitlement in connection with land supply curve. But equally, important details such as the integration of article 68 could be resolved. Currently, a thorough technical and methodological documentation of the premium module of CAPRI is in preparation.

Thanks to the existance of RegFin, first tests for an iterative linkage between CAPRI and the regional CGEs had already been conducted in summer 2009 well ahead of time (scheduled to be documented in Month 24 and implemented in Month 36). Equally, a first implementation of Pillar II measures in CAPRI had been realized in winter 2009, again well before Month 24, the date foreseen.

Workpackage 4: Baseline

Blanco-Fonseca M.,Literature review of methodologies to generate baselines for agriculture and land use,

The CAPRI baseline 2009/2010 (Del D4.4), now covering the year 2020, was released. Preliminary results were already released in autumn 2009. The methodology for the baseline is revised as new external forecasts are integrated and a new format of the FAO international data base became available. Equally, the recent reforms of the CAP described under the heading "Health Check" had been integrated, and a first set of Pillar II instruments (Least Favourite Area Payments, Natura 2000 payments, Agri-Environmental Measures) are now covered in a prototype manner in CAPRI's supply module.

The CAPRI baseline 2010/2011 (Del D4.5), covering the year 2020, was released. It was the basis for the results analyzed during the training session 2010 in Cheltenham.

The CAPRI baseline 2011/2012 (Del D4.6), covering the year 2020, was released. It was the basis for the results analyzed during the training session 2011 in Braunschweig. It comprises many changes to incorporate the OECD/FAO/DG-AGRI baseline following a massive re-factoring of the FAP/OECD AGLINK-COSIMO model and the new regional break-down of the market model of CAPRI. The latest CAP reforms are now fully integrated in the baseline.

Workpackage 5: Indicators

Terres J.M. et.al., Systematic review of CMEF indicators, CAPRI-RD database and results, CAPPRI-RD Deliverable 5.1, 2010

Terres J.M. et.al., New methodologies to calculate CMEF or alternative indicators, CAPPRI-RD Deliverable 5.2, 2011

Workpackage 6: Policy Impact Assessment

The first scenario impact analysis (Del 6.1) was prepared, and a report sent to DG-AGRI. It is not yet decided if the results and scenario definitions will be released to the public.

The second scenario impact analysis (D 6.2), related to the CAP reform proposal post 2013 and dealing with more uniform single farm payments, was conducted and send to DG-AGRI in Spring 2011.

The third scenario impact analysis (D 6.3), related to the legal proposal for the CAP post 2013, is currently under preparation and will be sent to DG-AGRI in spring 2012.

When the proposal was developped, it was forseen to use large-scale grid computing as part of a package of assessing the quality of results achieved. Despite some promising pre-tests which provided the basis to propose that methodology in the project proposal, it turned out to be computationally too demanding to be applied for real-world applications. Instead, a mix of different approaches was integrated in CAPRI to improve result assessment:

• Decomposing price and other effects in the CAPRI market model for result analysis
• Sensitivity analysis for supply model features in the CAPRI supply model
• Decomposition of yield changes in the supply models
• Many new exploitation tables in the GUI which allow analyzing the contribution of single effects to over all results

Some background information on the original planned approach can be found in M. Himics and W. Britz, Grid-based systematic sensitivity analysis with CAPRI, CAPPRI-RD Deliverable 6.4, 2012

Workpackage 7: IT

Good practise guide for GAMS development in CAPRI-RD, CAPRI-RD Deliverable 7.1, 2010

Most first steps for the implementation of the guidelines laid down by the good practise guide are already underaken. Given the thousands of code line in CAPRI that is a tediouls exercise, foressen to be finalized after month 24. Equally, the Graphical User Interface (GUI) of CAPRI is continously improved (final stage foreseen in Month 48) - a scenario editor was added in autumn 2009 and new mapping abilities added.

In spring 2011, a new CAPRI repository under a software versioning system was released which comprised to a large extent code refactored according to the now so-called "CAPRI red book" (D7.2. Refactoring of GAMS code according to good practise guide). However, there are still some dark corner of old code, mostly dealing with data transformations, where the code guidelines are not yet fully implemented.

Several new, improved versions of the CAPRI GUI (deliverable D7.3) were released during the project's lifetime already. They comprise, inter alia: